PolyBot

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Traders

necristiro

0xa05c4526449dd5f5bd438cb6359448b19f5caa9b

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$332.6k
Markets traded
828
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded828
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.803$5.7k+$2.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.197$1.4k−$2.1k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8500.978$878.77+$114.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7520.855$342.00+$41.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9170.915$274.50−$0.50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9390.958$191.50+$3.70
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7640.915$173.73+$28.73
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.3820.340$169.99−$21.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.835$167.00+$9.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.635$127.00−$3.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.205$82.00−$6.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6000.825$55.00+$15.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.235$47.00−$35.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.4700.265$28.19−$21.81
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.8130.110$16.50−$105.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 19:20US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$184.00
10-11 16:21Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.89$89.00
10-11 16:18Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.15$12.00
10-11 16:13Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.85$170.00
10-11 15:59Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)BUY0.64$19.20
10-10 17:36Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)BUY0.6999999993$100.00
10-09 18:54Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSELL0.03$6.33
10-09 18:52Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.0899999993$10.00
10-07 19:59Plague pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0442223$4.42
10-07 19:57Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9$90.00
10-07 15:53Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0527$5.27
10-06 19:09Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.583502$58.35
10-06 17:39Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?BUY0.83$41.50
09-22 21:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.76$76.00
09-15 18:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$10.00