necristiro
0xa05c4526449dd5f5bd438cb6359448b19f5caa9b
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $332.6k
- Markets traded
- 828
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded828
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$916.44at 0.074Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$529.00at 0.559Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$452.74at 0.179Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$365.97at 0.552Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$325.30at 0.131Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 19:20 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-11 16:21 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-11 16:18 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 10-11 16:13 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 10-11 15:59 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 10-10 17:36 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 18:54 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.03 | $6.33 |
| 10-09 18:52 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 19:59 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0442223 | $4.42 |
| 10-07 19:57 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 10-07 15:53 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0527 | $5.27 |
| 10-06 19:09 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.583502 | $58.35 |
| 10-06 17:39 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-22 21:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 09-15 18:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |