PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

slut4trading

0x9fcfa5857423a85fc290ecb361fc0190daa66ce2

Realised P&L
$-396.24
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
547
Open portfolio
$91.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded547
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2540.155$18.04−$11.48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2540.203$15.20−$3.80
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1120.098$14.02−$1.98
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1710.123$7.22−$2.78
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4330.345$6.37−$1.63
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2770.045$5.04−$25.92
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5600.655$3.51+$0.51
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0960.021$3.20−$11.80
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5820.620$2.13+$0.13
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3300.140$2.12−$2.88
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1740.029$2.00−$10.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2750.175$1.91−$1.09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.039$1.62+$0.62
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0230.018$1.61−$0.39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.183$1.36−$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 16:45New COVID variant of concern before 2027?SELL0.19$1.12
06-26 19:13Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.092$1.11
06-26 19:12Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.94$8.54
06-19 15:56Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$1.00
06-19 15:56Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?SELL0.37$5.28
06-17 01:16Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-17 01:15Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-17 01:15Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-17 01:15Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
06-17 01:14Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.25$1.00
06-17 01:14Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.08$1.00
06-17 01:14Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-17 01:13Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-17 01:12Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?SELL0.1135463241$4.15
06-12 13:06Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.2$1.00