PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e2Fe0A8003227663b758C7Da22B1b5C1f6be2e2-1782713748051

0x9e2fe0a8003227663b758c7da22b1b5c1f6be2e2

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$60.0k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$17.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0630.055$7.11$1.09
New pandemic before 2028? · Yes0.1800.175$5.83$0.17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1280.190$1.48+$0.48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0360.011$1.46$3.54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$0.84$4.16
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0570.044$0.79$0.21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2250.042$0.18$0.82
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0110.002$0.14$0.86
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0310.003$0.08$0.92
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.08
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.5910.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:57Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-10 08:25Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.128$1.00
09-10 08:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
09-10 08:23Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.036$5.00
08-19 04:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.6199999942$15.00
08-19 04:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-19 04:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSELL0.16$1.00
08-19 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.6699999982$11.00
08-19 02:10Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.0565986637$1.00
08-19 02:09New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.1799999772$6.00
08-19 02:08New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
08-08 13:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
08-05 13:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-05 13:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-05 13:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.003$1.00