0x9e2Fe0A8003227663b758C7Da22B1b5C1f6be2e2-1782713748051
0x9e2fe0a8003227663b758c7da22b1b5c1f6be2e2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $17.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$950.35at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$785.68at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$467.14at 0.756Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$387.22at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$351.10at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:57 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:25 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 08-19 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 08-19 02:10 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0565986637 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 02:09 | New pandemic before 2028? | BUY | 0.1799999772 | $6.00 |
| 08-19 02:08 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 13:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |