hping02
0x9e258f489d8cd82fed3d59803ee2a6310b24afd6
- Realised P&L
- $-184.28
- Volume
- $61.3k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.26at 0.964US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$118.02at 0.508Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$79.57at 0.472Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$59.45at 0.768Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$41.04at 0.526US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 00:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $58.50 |
| 09-25 21:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $50.43 |
| 09-25 20:50 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.43 | $9.89 |
| 09-25 20:49 | Ole Miss vs. Florida: O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $13.25 |
| 09-25 20:29 | Critical Discord Incident by October 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-25 20:12 | Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 09-25 20:06 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.61 | $56.73 |
| 09-25 17:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $262.08 |
| 09-25 17:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $70.20 |
| 09-25 17:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.08 |
| 09-25 17:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $25.28 |
| 09-25 17:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $58.90 |
| 09-25 17:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $37.80 |
| 09-25 16:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $66.30 |
| 09-25 16:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.25 |