0x9b3f3606cf5dce0bec8101b6c4d089caa8060fa5
- Realised P&L
- $-236.51
- Volume
- $57.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,015
- Open portfolio
- $877.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,015
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.78at 0.630Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
- +$42.03at 0.650Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$40.02at 0.610Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
- +$37.95at 0.615Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$30.95at 0.660Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 10:58 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 07-29 03:04 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 07-28 22:27 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 22:11 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.66 |
| 07-28 21:51 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.26 |
| 07-28 19:21 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 07-28 17:53 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.85 |
| 07-28 14:10 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 07-28 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.20 |
| 07-28 07:41 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.19 | $13.30 |
| 07-28 00:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 07-27 23:48 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $23.10 |
| 07-27 20:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 07-27 17:57 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.55 |
| 07-27 16:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |