PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9b3f3606cf5dce0bec8101b6c4d089caa8060fa5

Realised P&L
$-353.41
Volume
$61.5k
Markets traded
1,024
Open portfolio
$739.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,024
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7170.926$45.82+$10.32
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2560.270$36.45+$1.95
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2260.200$29.93$3.90
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7900.975$29.24+$5.54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2550.265$29.15+$1.15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7900.885$26.55+$2.85
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.285$25.65+$3.15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3220.285$25.36$3.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.2770.265$23.85$1.05
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2310.230$22.95$0.15
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7630.705$22.20$1.83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2400.165$21.57$9.78
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.3260.281$20.48$3.30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.1900.185$20.35$0.55
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.1660.138$20.15$4.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:51Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$4.80
09-16 20:51Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.32$22.40
09-16 20:51Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$4.00
09-15 14:16Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 09:52Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$21.60
09-15 09:04Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$7.68
09-15 09:04NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$22.50
09-15 02:11Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.231$23.10
09-11 11:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.25$2.50
09-11 07:51Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.28$1.40
09-11 07:00Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.28$21.00
09-11 07:00Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.158$5.37
09-10 22:46Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.23$6.90
09-08 18:33Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$2.40
09-06 15:24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.147$8.82