0x9b3f3606cf5dce0bec8101b6c4d089caa8060fa5
- Realised P&L
- $-353.41
- Volume
- $61.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,024
- Open portfolio
- $739.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,024
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.69at 0.605Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
- +$45.78at 0.630Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
- +$42.01at 0.650Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$40.02at 0.610Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
- +$37.95at 0.615Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 09-16 20:51 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $22.40 |
| 09-16 20:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 14:16 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 09:52 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $21.60 |
| 09-15 09:04 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.68 |
| 09-15 09:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $22.50 |
| 09-15 02:11 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.231 | $23.10 |
| 09-11 11:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 07:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-11 07:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $21.00 |
| 09-11 07:00 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.158 | $5.37 |
| 09-10 22:46 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 09-08 18:33 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 09-06 15:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.147 | $8.82 |