0x99f7c57fc89762084ec60685ec3e42a0a99437ff
0x99f7c57fc89762084ec60685ec3e42a0a99437ff
- Realised P&L
- $20.98
- Volume
- $340.16
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $7.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.479 | $1.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.745 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.215 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.515 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.085 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.033 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
- +$3.00at 0.400US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:30 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 03:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 5? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:38 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 08:14 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:58 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |