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Traders

Tippgotoethe44

0x98c79590ef0e2937c0a9ec5e76f25773da195a5d

Realised P&L
$77.63
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$112.18

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.3680.790$40.77+$21.77
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.265$12.48+$5.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.835$11.93+$1.93
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.2500.855$10.26+$7.26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.405$6.98$3.02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6420.530$6.61$1.39
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5310.569$5.35+$0.35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6700.625$3.73$0.27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.425$3.19+$0.19
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? · Yes0.0680.021$2.53$5.47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5600.415$2.22$0.78
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.325$1.99$1.01
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.5400.455$1.69$0.31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1900.065$1.37$2.63
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.3600.043$0.59$4.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 25, 2026?SELL0.92$3.91
09-16 14:44Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-15 11:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 25, 2026?BUY0.469999906$2.00
09-15 11:37Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?BUY0.0679999985$3.00
09-15 11:37Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?BUY0.0678365137$5.00
08-17 06:01Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
08-15 07:29Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.6660001483$3.00
08-09 14:33Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-09 14:30Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?BUY0.2$1.00
08-04 10:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5309999985$5.00
07-31 19:28U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.5659999676$5.00
07-31 19:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5099999983$3.00
07-31 19:26Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6$3.00
07-31 19:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1485884101$7.00
07-28 06:40Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
Trader Tippgotoethe44 · PolyBot Pro