oristones
0x92853ea33b04b9c0fa0933fdaf51096add65359c
- Realised P&L
- $36.52
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $516.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.96at 0.154Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$56.37at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$30.69at 0.567Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$22.98at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$20.09at 0.711Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.489 | $4.89 |
| 09-12 04:34 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.153 | $1.53 |
| 09-12 04:33 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-11 11:27 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.152 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 17:19 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.114 | $2.28 |
| 09-09 13:03 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.114 | $2.28 |
| 09-09 05:57 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.103 | $2.06 |
| 09-02 09:31 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-30 10:50 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5089999708 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 00:59 | Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-24 00:44 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |