0x9182AB8157689Aa8Fdb58aEcA518e3fbEd0b3368-1768191988443
0x9182ab8157689aa8fdb58aeca518e3fbed0b3368
- Realised P&L
- $-11.9k
- Volume
- $3.77M
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.467Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$5.6kat 0.175Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$2.4kat 0.266Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$830.32at 0.315Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$789.61at 0.086Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:44 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:44 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3623897986 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:42 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0859999856 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:40 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0509999907 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:38 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $53.60 |
| 08-03 02:38 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.974 | $55.71 |