0x9182AB8157689Aa8Fdb58aEcA518e3fbEd0b3368-1768191988443
0x9182ab8157689aa8fdb58aeca518e3fbed0b3368
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $3.78M
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.467Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$5.6kat 0.174Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$2.4kat 0.266Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.593Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$830.32at 0.315Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:44 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3539999946 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:44 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:44 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:44 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:42 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0819999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:41 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:41 | Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:40 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:40 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $27.96 |
| 09-11 12:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2166975284 | $20.00 |