PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

T-deg

0x9163eea23712a0558781d63e1c3134f0f7290cab

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$53.4k
Markets traded
518
Open portfolio
$395.26

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded518
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8300.875$87.50+$4.50
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.085$85.00+$5.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.125$62.50+$2.50
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0390.028$27.50$11.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8200.895$26.85+$2.25
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0230.017$16.50$6.50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.405$16.20$5.80
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1610.160$15.95$0.15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1970.249$12.47+$2.62
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1900.165$8.25$1.25
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0080.013$6.75+$2.75
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · No0.6500.650$6.50+$0.00
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0070.005$5.50$1.50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1660.075$3.77$4.53
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3300.205$3.11$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 10:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?BUY0.29$5.80
07-27 21:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29?BUY0.03$0.33
07-27 21:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 28?BUY0.004$0.20
07-27 20:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 28?BUY0.005$0.12
07-27 11:17Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 27?BUY0.0258928324$1.00
07-26 14:37Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.905$45.25
07-26 14:10Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.76424869$53.96
07-26 12:49Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.46$23.00
07-25 12:25Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.845$16.90
07-24 11:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 24?SELL0.07$3.81
07-24 11:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 25?BUY0.0035412646$1.00
07-24 11:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 25?BUY0.004$0.32
07-24 11:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 24?SELL0.091$0.73
07-22 12:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 23?BUY0.011$0.25
07-22 12:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 23?BUY0.0040834518$1.00