0x90912843ec1268df58100adb96380a571a6c9558
0x90912843ec1268df58100adb96380a571a6c9558
- Realised P&L
- $11.01
- Volume
- $504.91
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $7.34
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.545 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.295 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.745 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.385 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.280 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.115 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.275 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.018 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:37 | Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 02:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 01:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:28 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |