Siziriv
0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4
- Realised P&L
- $383.3k
- Volume
- $113.60M
- Markets traded
- 6,337
- Open portfolio
- $11.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,337
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.0kat 0.015Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$426.6kat 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$354.7kat 0.083Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$350.6kat 0.167No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$347.6kat 0.167Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.50 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $47.70 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.21 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $28.62 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $430.26 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.984 | $694.05 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $698.99 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $695.47 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.1k |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.9k |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $800.10 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 21:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.1k |