PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Siziriv

0x8e9eedf20dfa70956d49f608a205e402d9df38e4

Realised P&L
$386.2k
Volume
$113.71M
Markets traded
6,359
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,359
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5000.951$1.4k+$668.83
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.512$768.53+$756.82
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0670.635$635.00+$568.33
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.1000.640$627.64+$529.57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.595$594.99+$95.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.895$447.50+$197.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.350$350.00$150.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.210$315.70+$303.32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2000.305$305.00+$105.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.185$275.24+$263.65
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.165$244.08+$232.49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.162$242.25+$230.53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.160$236.66+$225.07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.132$197.22+$185.50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.116$173.25+$161.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:10Will FK Kharkiv vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi end in a draw?BUY0.84$1.01
09-16 09:10Will FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.84$1.01
09-10 22:40Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.00
09-10 22:40Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.00
09-10 22:40Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.01$0.00
09-10 22:40Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.03$0.01
09-10 22:40Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$3.3k
09-10 22:40Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.97$3.2k
09-10 22:40Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8$2.6k
09-10 22:40Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.24$792.78
09-10 22:40Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$3.3k
09-10 22:40Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.99$3.3k
09-10 12:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$13.97
09-10 12:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$97.81
09-10 12:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$55.89