PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MajoriT

0x8c76c4787bf236398d2d1a42dd3e8af1393206ac

Realised P&L
$-26.1k
Volume
$2.80M
Markets traded
448
Open portfolio
$87.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded448
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8450.945$35.3k+$3.7k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9220.965$24.1k+$1.1k
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.955$8.1k+$1.0k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9300.982$5.1k+$266.32
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3950.460$2.8k+$386.21
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8860.935$2.7k+$140.91
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2190.278$1.7k+$352.89
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9070.885$1.6k$40.01
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1390.747$1.3k+$1.1k
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9400.979$978.50+$38.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2670.192$941.16$369.34
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6430.635$889.00$11.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4790.055$746.91$5.8k
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9280.896$443.86$15.70
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9840.985$367.09+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 21:49Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?BUY0.995$304.76
07-23 16:44Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.98$980.00
07-23 16:33Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.9354776441$2.5k
07-23 14:35Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.9694781312$2.0k
07-23 14:35Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.8142809391$1.1k
06-16 13:53Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.984$366.90
05-23 15:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.27$270.00
05-23 14:55Iran closes its airspace by May 27?SELL0.3232156414$484.82
05-23 02:29Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?BUY0.95$1.5k
05-22 23:43Israel closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.6601482759$134.01
05-21 20:37Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?SELL0.13$3.25
05-21 19:07Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.999$5.7k
05-21 19:04Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?SELL0.5021568433$50.52
05-21 18:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.19$1.1k
05-21 18:15Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?SELL0.4$8.00