NoKingsFTrump
0x8a47b06b7f309ca18477d84eaf47b87c1b380ff7
- Realised P&L
- $23.21
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $132.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.51at 0.059Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$8.41at 0.710Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$8.40at 0.644Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.09at 0.720Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$8.08at 0.650US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $7.50 |
| 09-17 14:45 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.928 | $14.38 |
| 09-17 14:42 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999766 | $9.39 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.45 |
| 08-15 16:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $4.15 |
| 08-09 14:09 | Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.89 |
| 08-05 16:33 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 16:27 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $8.59 |
| 08-04 15:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.98 | $8.82 |
| 08-04 15:33 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999198 | $1.95 |
| 07-24 20:06 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $10.78 |
| 07-24 19:59 | Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 00:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 14:15 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |