0x892ae792793cd060998f7c190052e5d3870e5f13
0x892ae792793cd060998f7c190052e5d3870e5f13
- Realised P&L
- $-19.21
- Volume
- $219.65
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $7.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.577 | $2.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.745 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.620 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.215 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.615 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No | 0.460 | 0.065 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$4.50at 0.510Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.82at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 06:26 | Will OpenRouter process between 160T and 165T tokens the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:41 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |