darkus
0x88fe0cb92deca0c8460b313ab4aad55f0c02f516
- Realised P&L
- $-85.15
- Volume
- $180.1k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.560Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$1.1kat 0.729Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$610.00at 0.390Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
- +$591.40at 0.876US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$572.42at 0.636Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.0k |
| 07-27 15:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7283666758 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 11:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.189 | $35.44 |
| 07-11 23:18 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8675 | $260.25 |
| 07-11 12:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.172 | $96.75 |
| 07-07 15:31 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 15:30 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.92 | $400.00 |
| 07-07 13:07 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 10:27 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 10:27 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 09:18 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-06 19:51 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 22:36 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.9689301008 | $600.00 |
| 07-02 22:30 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.818 | $12.26 |
| 07-02 22:29 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.817 | $49.61 |