PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

darkus

0x88fe0cb92deca0c8460b313ab4aad55f0c02f516

Realised P&L
$-85.15
Volume
$180.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6400.635$3.0k$23.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.915$365.99+$22.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1700.095$279.41$220.59
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.115$98.57$21.43
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7290.225$92.65$207.35
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.4400.325$73.86$26.14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4080.290$28.46$11.54
Will Solana reach $110 in March? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.3280.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$80.00
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl? · Yes0.8790.000$0.00$300.00
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7800.000$0.00$600.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.7300.000$0.00$300.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8380.000$0.00$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 15:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.64$3.0k
07-27 15:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7283666758$1.0k
07-12 11:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.189$35.44
07-11 23:18Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8675$260.25
07-11 12:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.172$96.75
07-07 15:31Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.08$100.00
07-07 15:30Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.92$400.00
07-07 13:07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.8299999998$300.00
07-07 10:27Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.92$200.00
07-07 10:27Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.92$200.00
07-07 09:18Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.8399999999$1000.00
07-06 19:51Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
07-02 22:36Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY0.9689301008$600.00
07-02 22:30Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY0.818$12.26
07-02 22:29Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?BUY0.817$49.61