0x8520696102dbd37B556ab06fc8Ac0B84b581eAC1-1772829985249
0x8520696102dbd37b556ab06fc8ac0b84b581eac1
- Realised P&L
- $-196.93
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $606.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.78at 0.260Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$5.00at 0.750Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$1.57at 0.800Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.001Will "The Bride!" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$-15.35at 0.345Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:09 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $14.11 |
| 07-13 22:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999992 | $250.00 |
| 07-13 22:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $81.81 |
| 06-15 12:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 12:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 12:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1149999809 | $6.00 |
| 06-14 22:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.111048509 | $76.41 |
| 06-14 22:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.3411032961 | $123.67 |
| 06-12 12:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5516426138 | $200.00 |
| 06-12 12:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999891 | $15.00 |
| 06-11 03:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.93 | $214.77 |
| 06-07 21:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999985 | $88.00 |
| 06-07 21:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.302 | $89.81 |
| 06-04 13:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999977 | $69.00 |
| 06-04 12:59 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |