PolyBot

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Traders

0x8520696102dbd37B556ab06fc8Ac0B84b581eAC1-1772829985249

0x8520696102dbd37b556ab06fc8ac0b84b581eac1

Realised P&L
$-196.93
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$606.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3800.795$565.28+$295.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3030.145$20.81−$22.69
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2100.115$8.21−$6.79
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1970.055$6.97−$18.03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.032$2.58−$2.42
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3000.085$1.42−$3.58
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes0.3560.085$1.19−$3.81
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.1780.000$0.00−$25.00
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.70
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.1150.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 15:09Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?SELL0.9$14.11
07-13 22:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4399999992$250.00
07-13 22:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.19$81.81
06-15 12:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
06-15 12:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.059999989$5.00
06-15 12:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1149999809$6.00
06-14 22:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.111048509$76.41
06-14 22:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.3411032961$123.67
06-12 12:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5516426138$200.00
06-12 12:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2199999891$15.00
06-11 03:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.93$214.77
06-07 21:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2699999985$88.00
06-07 21:48Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.302$89.81
06-04 13:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2699999977$69.00
06-04 12:59Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?BUY0.002$5.00