0x837f15F6F492016AFf4E3F4b5221a4da97d797A3-1769013774037
0x837f15f6f492016aff4e3f4b5221a4da97d797a3
- Realised P&L
- $-111.41
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $16.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.50at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$18.22at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$18.22at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$6.44at 0.650S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
- +$3.73at 0.349Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 02-16 18:38 | Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 02-12 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7180055304 | $17.63 |
| 02-12 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5756823751 | $19.40 |
| 02-12 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 02-12 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.649999987 | $14.61 |
| 02-12 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $1.95 |
| 02-08 14:51 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.99 |
| 02-08 14:50 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.61 |
| 02-08 14:50 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.59 |
| 02-08 14:50 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.59 |
| 02-08 14:49 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.87 |
| 02-08 14:49 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.85 |
| 02-08 14:49 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.86 |