0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c
0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c
- Realised P&L
- $-73.80
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 459
- Open portfolio
- $78.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded459
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.67at 0.415US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$134.59at 0.216Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$58.28at 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$42.52at 0.743Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$22.34at 0.188Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:43 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6599999619 | $3.12 |
| 09-25 00:37 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7299999755 | $2.68 |
| 09-25 00:33 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7699999845 | $3.47 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.08 |
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 00:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 00:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 00:13 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |