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Traders

0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c

0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c

Realised P&L
$-73.80
Volume
$72.1k
Markets traded
459
Open portfolio
$78.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded459
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7270.825$8.00+$0.95
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.374$7.28−$0.22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6270.735$7.03+$1.03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7400.955$3.87+$0.87
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8300.955$3.45+$0.45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2550.125$3.24−$3.38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.980$3.21+$0.21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.715$2.80+$0.80
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.3910.135$2.07−$3.93
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9800.977$1.99−$0.01
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.2770.180$1.95−$1.05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4580.085$1.86−$8.14
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0260.047$1.81+$0.81
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.6200.900$1.45+$0.45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2700.195$1.45−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 00:43Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.6599999619$3.12
09-25 00:37Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.7299999755$2.68
09-25 00:33Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.7699999845$3.47
09-25 00:05Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.7$4.08
09-18 00:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-18 00:14NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-07 00:50China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-07 00:41Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-07 00:40China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0959999194$1.00
08-24 00:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9709999981$1.00
08-12 00:19Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-11 00:13Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-07 00:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
Trader 0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c · PolyBot Pro