PolyBot

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Traders

nsd22

0x823350329944b59d65808e887b974bbc14fe7fa2

Realised P&L
$-30.42
Volume
$49.2k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$34.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.955$10.49+$0.49
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$3.11+$0.11
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.890$2.97−$0.03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9500.925$2.92−$0.08
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.790$2.55−$0.45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8150.977$2.40+$0.40
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9500.980$2.06+$0.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8700.845$1.94−$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.8791.000$1.14+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.8901.000$1.12+$0.12
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.885$1.05+$0.05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8800.874$0.99−$0.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7500.665$0.89−$0.11
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.720$0.86−$0.14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6600.135$0.20−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:06Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8799997184$1.00
09-28 12:06Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.95$2.00
09-28 12:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-28 12:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-28 12:05Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.8789999051$1.00
09-28 12:05Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
09-28 12:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-28 12:04Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.964$5.03
08-30 08:03Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.74$1.00
08-30 08:02Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
08-30 08:02Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
08-30 08:02Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89999976$3.00
08-30 08:02Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$3.00
08-30 08:02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9499998892$3.00
08-30 08:01Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9569998731$5.00