nsd22
0x823350329944b59d65808e887b974bbc14fe7fa2
- Realised P&L
- $-30.42
- Volume
- $49.2k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $34.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.07at 0.586Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.20at 0.016Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.91at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$0.86at 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.840Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:06 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 12:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999051 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $5.03 |
| 08-30 08:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:02 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:02 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:02 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:02 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:02 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499998892 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:01 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9569998731 | $5.00 |