PolyBot

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Traders

spongebobs

0x821febe09ea9331bbd3522b4ba2c325724d1f9c3

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$62.3k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9650.952$1.3k−$17.44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3290.365$1.1k+$110.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.9240.972$1.1k+$51.44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.8880.966$978.61+$78.61
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · No0.9190.967$946.75+$46.75
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7890.954$846.37+$146.38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5470.563$728.85+$20.86
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6460.660$715.40+$15.40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.6420.820$638.87+$138.88
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.8190.899$592.77+$52.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.175$17.50−$12.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4670.045$14.46−$135.54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.026$1.10−$8.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 18:00Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3709999883$8.00
10-21 18:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.9216246007$340.00
10-21 18:58Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.716104391$300.00
10-21 18:58Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.6018527196$500.00
10-21 18:58Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9748298479$1.1k
10-21 18:58Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4751707981$500.00
10-21 18:58Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.8599999998$500.00
10-21 18:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.27$500.00
09-18 19:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.9659999975$100.00
09-18 19:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.9652374557$100.00
09-18 19:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.7899999968$100.00
09-18 19:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.9499999991$100.00
09-18 19:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.8599999983$100.00
09-18 19:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.7899999968$100.00
07-19 21:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3052500063$122.10