PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7Ff046E9cE40e100E24DFD7a0B5559Ef05eA2259-1766906301800

0x7ff046e9ce40e100e24dfd7a0b5559ef05ea2259

Realised P&L
$-37.29
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.5500.080$0.80$4.70
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · Yes0.1500.067$0.67$0.83
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.3200.028$0.28$2.92
USDC depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0900.015$0.18$0.91
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1100.002$0.01$1.08
Will Solana reach $150 in January? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.80
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$18.80
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? · No0.1350.000$0.00$2.70
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$4.21
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.10
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.30
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? · Up0.4900.000$0.00$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-07 12:54U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?BUY0.13$1.30
01-07 12:52U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?BUY0.14$1.40
01-06 15:54Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2$2.00
01-04 10:27Will Solana reach $140 in January?BUY0.78$7.80
01-04 06:20Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?BUY0.73$7.30
01-04 04:58Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?BUY0.59$5.90
01-04 03:58Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?BUY0.21$2.10
01-04 03:40Will Solana reach $140 in January?BUY0.78$7.80
01-04 03:36Will Solana dip to $100 in January?BUY0.08$1.04
01-04 03:32Will Solana dip to $100 in January?BUY0.08$1.04
01-03 08:29Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.27$2.70
01-02 05:16Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?BUY0.71$7.10
01-02 05:15Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.84$8.40
01-02 05:15Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?BUY0.67$6.70
01-02 05:13Will Solana dip to $100 in January?BUY0.83$8.30