0x7Fa3c3F5a75d4dD36d6059CA08d312f7Ee2Aa12a-1772812828320
0x7fa3c3f5a75d4dd36d6059ca08d312f7ee2aa12a
- Realised P&L
- $16.86
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $698.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.57at 0.260Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
- +$30.38at 0.923Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$25.40at 0.870US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$18.29at 0.250Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?
- +$18.00at 0.840US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:11 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 10-05 13:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.845 | $126.75 |
| 09-29 14:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 09-18 19:43 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-15 18:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $51.70 |
| 09-11 00:28 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 08-27 16:26 | Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-16 13:00 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 08-15 14:35 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.40 |
| 08-13 22:21 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 08-11 22:56 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 08-11 22:19 | Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 07-03 12:54 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.059 | $11.80 |
| 07-03 12:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.071 | $29.96 |
| 07-03 12:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.13 | $52.00 |