PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7Fa3c3F5a75d4dD36d6059CA08d312f7Ee2Aa12a-1772812828320

0x7fa3c3f5a75d4dd36d6059ca08d312f7ee2aa12a

Realised P&L
$16.86
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$698.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.845$169.00−$3.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.645$129.00−$1.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8450.844$126.53−$0.23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7410.775$123.99+$5.42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.845$84.50+$7.50
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.205$61.50+$4.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.045$2.25−$9.75
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.2800.265$1.78−$0.10
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$11.38
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$26.84
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$3.59
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$6.40
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$51.30
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$7.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 14:11Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.65$130.00
10-05 13:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.845$126.75
09-29 14:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.86$172.00
09-18 19:43Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.94$94.00
09-15 18:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.94$51.70
09-11 00:28Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.19$57.00
08-27 16:26Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.28$5.60
08-16 13:00Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.5$4.00
08-15 14:35Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?BUY0.55$4.40
08-13 22:21Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.64$6.40
08-11 22:56Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?BUY0.68$6.80
08-11 22:19Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)BUY0.4$4.00
07-03 12:54Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.059$11.80
07-03 12:54Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.071$29.96
07-03 12:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.13$52.00