PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

anakayam

0x7da20a443873458369cb52f5c102a8eabd61a60a

Realised P&L
$291.06
Volume
$44.6k
Markets traded
483
Open portfolio
$95.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded483
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.1360.898$19.79+$16.79
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9700.997$10.27+$0.27
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.941$10.22+$0.22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9380.959$10.22+$0.22
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.4700.730$7.77+$2.77
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9710.982$6.07+$0.07
Deel IPO before 2027? · No0.5100.955$5.62+$2.62
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.945$5.25+$0.25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4400.740$3.36+$1.36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5820.957$3.29+$1.29
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6200.936$3.02+$1.02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.5900.260$2.20$2.80
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.5600.985$1.76+$0.76
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.6700.885$1.32+$0.32
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.7900.973$1.23+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 02:59Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?BUY0.7539995989$1.00
08-11 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-11 02:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
06-20 10:09Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.4166241015$2.00
06-20 10:08Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999343$1.00
06-09 12:46Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
06-06 03:33China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
06-06 03:33Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9379999957$10.00
06-06 03:32Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9699999331$10.00
06-03 16:38Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
06-03 16:37Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?BUY0.9$5.00
06-03 14:13Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?BUY0.6199999297$3.00
06-03 14:12Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
06-03 14:12Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-03 14:11Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?BUY0.7899999921$1.00