77777s4il0r
0x7cc782f5f37d01aa61877972edee2848a9326c9a
- Realised P&L
- $685.13
- Volume
- $119.9k
- Markets traded
- 744
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded744
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.53at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 27?
- +$90.00at 0.367Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 23?
- +$73.00at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?
- +$68.70at 0.524Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?
- +$64.99at 0.350Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:39 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.7531614017 | $842.09 |
| 10-02 20:49 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.7586743075 | $198.58 |
| 10-02 19:32 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 10-02 05:57 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-02 05:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.756 | $529.20 |
| 10-02 05:34 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.991 | $121.40 |
| 10-01 18:36 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.78 | $390.00 |
| 10-01 17:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 10-01 16:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.38 | $266.00 |
| 10-01 16:36 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.78 | $234.00 |
| 10-01 16:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.719 | $287.59 |
| 10-01 02:29 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.895 | $179.00 |
| 10-01 02:27 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 10-01 02:26 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | BUY | 0.0291168831 | $11.21 |
| 10-01 02:26 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.85 | $83.47 |