PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

77777s4il0r

0x7cc782f5f37d01aa61877972edee2848a9326c9a

Realised P&L
$685.13
Volume
$119.9k
Markets traded
744
Open portfolio
$11.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded744
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7160.745$2.5k+$96.35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7080.745$1.9k+$93.60
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3880.425$1.4k+$122.50
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.7780.700$1.4k−$154.72
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9320.951$762.52+$14.87
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.9650.993$489.19+$13.79
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8300.825$330.00−$2.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.8820.810$324.00−$29.00
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.9550.931$279.30−$7.20
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · No0.0580.992$253.69+$238.74
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.7590.779$204.03+$5.45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9300.925$185.00−$1.00
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes0.8500.920$184.00+$14.00
Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.9180.957$176.53+$7.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.835$167.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:39Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.7531614017$842.09
10-02 20:49Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.7586743075$198.58
10-02 19:32Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.58$29.00
10-02 05:57Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.89$89.00
10-02 05:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.756$529.20
10-02 05:34Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?SELL0.991$121.40
10-01 18:36Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.78$390.00
10-01 17:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.71$142.00
10-01 16:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.38$266.00
10-01 16:36Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.78$234.00
10-01 16:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.719$287.59
10-01 02:29Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?BUY0.895$179.00
10-01 02:27Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.65$130.00
10-01 02:26Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?BUY0.0291168831$11.21
10-01 02:26Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?BUY0.85$83.47