PolyBot

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Traders

AuthenticDemigod

0x7487d969969767a997d3cbfe8d4aa540b0b6fc0c

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$904.3k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$12.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$528.00
09-16 18:27Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$914.36
09-16 18:21Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?SELL0.7120886667$213.63
09-16 08:42Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$150.00
09-14 20:21Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.96$406.42
09-14 20:06Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$10.50
09-14 19:37Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?SELL0.71$111.57
09-14 19:27Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1483470833$178.02
09-14 19:22Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2859518$142.98
09-14 19:22Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2390026564$108.87
09-14 09:13Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.07$35.00
09-07 20:17Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$176.00
09-07 20:14Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.79785$159.57
09-07 20:10Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?SELL0.1096601932$54.83
09-04 20:14Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9528849057$505.03