0x71eE92D742f972FFb63938dE0695C6Ccc72B9bd1-1775598788343
0x71ee92d742f972ffb63938de0695c6ccc72b9bd1
- Realised P&L
- $19.82
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $76.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.85at 0.772Named storm forms before hurricane season?
- +$3.81at 0.769Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$3.28at 0.813Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
- +$3.23at 0.809Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$2.35at 0.842Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 00:23 | Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 10-10 00:23 | Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-10 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 10-10 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.93 |
| 10-09 12:32 | Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 10-09 12:30 | Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-09 12:30 | Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-09 12:30 | Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-09 12:28 | Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-09 12:28 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 10-09 12:27 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 10-09 12:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-09 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.05 |
| 10-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-08 13:03 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |