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Traders

0x70833fae3bec68f0256807ec1dcc586692a349f9

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8060.983$2.0k+$361.97
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · No0.9501.000$949.00+$47.45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.6370.841$911.35+$220.63
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8060.973$502.58+$86.36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.895$235.96+$56.68
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.4600.655$196.50+$58.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5900.779$185.43+$45.04
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5400.645$119.44+$19.44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.955$117.90+$17.90
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8500.960$112.88+$12.88
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? · No0.8901.000$112.36+$12.36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$44.10$55.90
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · No0.9101.000$15.23+$1.37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.131$13.18$37.30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.116$11.67$38.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 05:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.6$16.96
04-20 05:02Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY0.06$1.56
04-20 04:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.61$28.79
04-20 04:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.33$8.94
04-20 04:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.05$0.86
04-20 04:28Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.06$1.04
04-20 04:28Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.09$1.56
04-20 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.21$1.86
04-20 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.25$4.46
04-20 02:24Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.9885369639$99.83
04-20 01:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.65$6.17
04-20 01:51Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.67$6.38
04-20 01:48Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.59$5.55
04-18 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.17$2.99
04-18 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.54$10.08
Trader hetlock · PolyBot Pro