0x70833fae3bec68f0256807ec1dcc586692a349f9
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.897Nothing Ever Happens: November
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- +$372.11at 0.586US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$213.20at 0.168Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$157.75at 0.750Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $16.96 |
| 04-20 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.56 |
| 04-20 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $28.79 |
| 04-20 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $8.94 |
| 04-20 04:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 04-20 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.04 |
| 04-20 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.56 |
| 04-20 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.86 |
| 04-20 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $4.46 |
| 04-20 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9885369639 | $99.83 |
| 04-20 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $6.17 |
| 04-20 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $6.38 |
| 04-20 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $5.55 |
| 04-18 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $2.99 |
| 04-18 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $10.08 |