PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Fedora1894

0x704434c46cad0c1acc45b30b682c98f25c2c8667

Realised P&L
$-2.77
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$22.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6300.735$5.83+$0.83
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3200.515$1.61+$0.61
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.795$1.17+$0.17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.960$1.16+$0.16
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8390.945$1.13+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.585$1.12+$0.12
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8100.881$1.09+$0.09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8400.895$1.07+$0.07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.895$1.07+$0.07
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9460.984$1.04+$0.04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$1.04+$0.04
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9670.995$1.03+$0.03
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.966$1.03+$0.03
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · No0.9800.965$0.98$0.02
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4700.240$0.51$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:53Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.97$1.00
09-18 01:52Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.98$1.00
07-12 13:29Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.84$1.00
07-12 13:29Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.84$1.00
07-12 13:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.959999616$1.00
07-12 01:00Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$1.00
07-12 01:00Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9669991539$1.00
07-12 01:00Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9859999882$1.00
07-12 01:00Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9959990638$1.00
07-12 00:59Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-12 00:58Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1475000221$1.00
04-11 11:05Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.6199998512$0.97
04-05 11:46Nothing Ever Happens: AprilBUY0.9909997225$1.00
04-05 11:44Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
04-05 11:44Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?BUY0.4$1.00