Fedora1894
0x704434c46cad0c1acc45b30b682c98f25c2c8667
- Realised P&L
- $-2.77
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $22.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.45at 0.817Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$1.04at 0.490Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.520Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$0.69at 0.590Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
- +$0.62at 0.713Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:53 | Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 13:29 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 13:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669991539 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999882 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959990638 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 00:59 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 00:58 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1475000221 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 11:05 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $0.97 |
| 04-05 11:46 | Nothing Ever Happens: April | BUY | 0.9909997225 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 11:44 | Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 11:44 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |