0x703b7bb4bf1e2cb40733c975cddbdbd3f2272320
- Realised P&L
- $-137.02
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $120.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.53at 0.022Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026?
- +$18.86at 0.031Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$18.66at 0.530Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$16.91at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$15.36at 0.118Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:33 | Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0697129816 | $1.11 |
| 09-14 10:32 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.81 |
| 09-14 10:32 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.73 |
| 09-08 11:44 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.063 | $0.78 |
| 09-08 11:43 | Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.69 |
| 09-08 11:42 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.21 |
| 09-08 11:42 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.0152 | $0.76 |
| 09-07 11:48 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 11:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 11:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999938 | $10.93 |
| 09-06 22:23 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.023 | $7.94 |
| 08-27 21:16 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |