PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x703b7bb4bf1e2cb40733c975cddbdbd3f2272320

Realised P&L
$-111.50
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$163.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? · No0.9441.000$105.93+$5.89
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.190$11.91+$10.91
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2560.247$9.67$0.33
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July? · No0.1500.745$4.97+$3.97
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.0310.615$4.96+$4.71
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.021$4.64+$1.27
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes0.0730.155$2.13+$1.13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.024$1.62+$0.65
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$1.55$0.45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.0900.120$1.33+$0.33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.3600.430$1.19+$0.19
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0120.013$1.14+$0.14
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July? · Yes0.0130.007$1.08$0.92
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0310.030$0.99$0.01
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1140.110$0.96$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:07Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.947196376$89.89
07-29 12:06Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0190066133$28.51
07-29 12:06Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.022$66.00
07-29 12:03Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.92$10.15
07-29 11:56Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0210151615$1.00
07-18 14:15Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-18 14:15Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-18 14:12Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0136122024$21.36
07-15 21:06Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.015$15.00
07-15 21:04Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$1.46
07-15 21:04Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.42$3.00
07-15 20:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.971848659$12.68
07-15 19:10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2924999472$3.82
07-15 16:25Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0139999954$3.00
07-15 16:24Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.227$5.38