0x703b7bb4bf1e2cb40733c975cddbdbd3f2272320
- Realised P&L
- $-111.50
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $163.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.06at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$17.00at 0.150Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$15.42at 0.115Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$10.49at 0.160Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$10.13at 0.497Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:07 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.947196376 | $89.89 |
| 07-29 12:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0190066133 | $28.51 |
| 07-29 12:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $66.00 |
| 07-29 12:03 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.15 |
| 07-29 11:56 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0210151615 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 14:15 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 14:15 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 14:12 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0136122024 | $21.36 |
| 07-15 21:06 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 21:04 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.46 |
| 07-15 21:04 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.971848659 | $12.68 |
| 07-15 19:10 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2924999472 | $3.82 |
| 07-15 16:25 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0139999954 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 16:24 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $5.38 |