Pskkwk
0x6baf0edf340f704e448d66473819071cf255cd49
- Realised P&L
- $-84.72
- Volume
- $872.05
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $53.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.540Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
- +$4.21at 0.322Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
- +$3.20at 0.600Israel military strike against Iran in November?
- +$2.88at 0.670Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
- +$2.19at 0.430Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 08:18 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299998465 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 08:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 09:02 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:44 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 21:46 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:21 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 19:19 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0809999935 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 17:03 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 17:02 | Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 12:58 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 15:08 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 06:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |