PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

shudd

0x688496472c6553c739b1ec2cc1431ee55810417c

Realised P&L
$-386.09
Volume
$4.52M
Markets traded
362
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded362
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.024$356.77+$156.64
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1360.075$131.72$107.99
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1640.207$113.74+$23.84
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.015$102.47$8.21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3830.460$54.82+$9.16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.009$53.45$13.88
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.021$51.01+$13.75
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1420.118$47.64$9.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0550.040$43.83$16.81
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1630.110$42.93$20.73
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.009$42.34$7.54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.040$38.41$9.17
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.015$33.86+$1.70
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0320.028$32.49$4.96
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1080.095$31.35$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 14:57Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.04$1.46
07-05 14:57Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.04$1.01
07-05 07:31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.046$1.09
07-04 18:14Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$4.29
06-12 12:29Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.15$1.86
06-12 03:52Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.017$2.18
06-12 01:18OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.09$2.70
06-12 00:50Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?BUY0.136$6.20
06-11 19:08Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.13$11.58
06-11 18:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.13$5.85
05-16 04:24Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.021$0.76
05-16 03:42Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.02$17.82
05-16 03:15Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.002$36.02
05-16 00:12Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$2.67
05-13 07:33Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.014$6.03