shudd
0x688496472c6553c739b1ec2cc1431ee55810417c
- Realised P&L
- $-386.09
- Volume
- $4.52M
- Markets traded
- 362
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded362
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$407.64at 0.559Panthers vs. Blackhawks
- +$354.07at 0.014Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$303.80at 0.372Heat vs. Suns
- +$155.55at 0.227Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$119.94at 0.012Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 14:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.46 |
| 07-05 14:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.01 |
| 07-05 07:31 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.09 |
| 07-04 18:14 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.29 |
| 06-12 12:29 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.86 |
| 06-12 03:52 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.017 | $2.18 |
| 06-12 01:18 | OKX IPO in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 06-12 00:50 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.136 | $6.20 |
| 06-11 19:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $11.58 |
| 06-11 18:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.85 |
| 05-16 04:24 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.76 |
| 05-16 03:42 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.02 | $17.82 |
| 05-16 03:15 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.002 | $36.02 |
| 05-16 00:12 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.67 |
| 05-13 07:33 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.014 | $6.03 |