stoic-jang
0x63d18d0b74d3fcf779359baa97158f7ad75c5083
- Realised P&L
- $387.15
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.50at 0.602Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$266.19at 0.298Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$159.08at 0.766Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$155.02at 0.239Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
- +$152.33at 0.202Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:53 | Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.44 |
| 10-08 09:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 22:23 | Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0812885 | $16.26 |
| 10-07 22:03 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1960328185 | $32.49 |
| 10-07 21:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.846 | $1.2k |
| 10-05 11:51 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $56.40 |
| 10-04 21:48 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0201457 | $4.03 |
| 10-04 21:30 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0278639 | $5.57 |
| 10-04 21:03 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.129 | $25.80 |
| 10-04 19:43 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $232.00 |
| 10-04 19:38 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $108.00 |
| 10-04 19:32 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999996 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 19:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 19:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4634635411 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 11:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.66 | $106.45 |