KrdRL
0x63c126981a7560667e38e7581082568571da70d7
- Realised P&L
- $674.55
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$531.41at 0.435 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$132.88at 0.667Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
- +$132.43at 0.430Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
- +$127.76at 0.540Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
- +$113.52at 0.642Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:32 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $200.00 |
| 09-14 14:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999982 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 21:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.69965367 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 21:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.6991611458 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 11:06 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 11:00 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999969 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 18:58 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.1504866891 | $30.92 |
| 09-04 15:52 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $150.00 |
| 09-04 15:51 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6304825498 | $200.00 |
| 08-28 16:37 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6946621114 | $200.00 |
| 08-28 16:37 | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9041703184 | $400.00 |
| 08-19 21:06 | Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.1162712474 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 21:06 | Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 21:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.8615529535 | $200.00 |
| 08-19 20:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8870434826 | $200.00 |