0x628d89513e9de3a401477dae35fa0cbadcdfeac6
- Realised P&L
- $-13.95
- Volume
- $363.46
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $63.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.488U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$0.72at 0.533US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$0.51at 0.079Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.38at 0.126Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
- +$0.19at 0.402Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 20:29 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999539 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 20:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 20:23 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 20:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999666 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 20:19 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 08-21 20:18 | Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.29 |
| 08-21 20:17 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.20 |
| 08-16 20:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.73 |
| 08-16 20:25 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.31 |
| 08-10 21:07 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.1226099025 | $1.63 |
| 07-29 19:39 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:36 | Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 19:20 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:17 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.0783979105 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |