0x628a9aC7D5c6E85c1777AdF34287a6A719436d8F-1774575063174
0x628a9ac7d5c6e85c1777adf34287a6a719436d8f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $165.7k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $180.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$994.39at 0.385BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper
- +$395.85at 0.316Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$249.22at 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$173.73at 0.991US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$140.08at 0.420BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:39 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:55 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:44 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:09 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:58 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:55 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.157 | $0.01 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.18 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.17 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.17 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.18 |
| 09-23 19:03 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.17 |
| 09-23 07:36 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:03 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:46 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |