virtua
0x61e95d962db26f7be797806e2de8aeba37c0425a
- Realised P&L
- $34.44
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $278.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.49at 0.161Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$10.27at 0.165Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.59at 0.410Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$9.54at 0.852Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$9.25at 0.339Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:41 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.98 |
| 09-06 18:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-06 16:53 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.81 |
| 09-06 16:53 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | SELL | 0.51 | $9.81 |
| 09-06 16:08 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.38 |
| 09-06 15:20 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.905 | $4.61 |
| 09-06 15:20 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.927 | $4.72 |
| 09-06 15:20 | Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.91 |
| 09-06 15:20 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.968 | $4.93 |
| 09-06 15:20 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $5.47 |
| 09-06 15:19 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.50 |
| 09-06 15:19 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $7.95 |
| 09-06 15:19 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.19 |
| 09-06 15:19 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $12.10 |
| 09-04 14:29 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |