PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61C75D0C027aCd044cC096a2F47cbe68A958CEEE-1768206715790

0x61c75d0c027acd044cc096a2f47cbe68a958ceee

Realised P&L
$-4.92
Volume
$282.95
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$17.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1610.700$8.68+$6.68
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7600.975$1.28+$0.28
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.007$1.25+$0.25
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5400.655$1.21+$0.21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7200.817$1.13+$0.13
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.5600.565$1.01+$0.01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5200.350$0.67−$0.33
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.0920.048$0.52−$0.48
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0600.022$0.37−$0.63
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0830.026$0.31−$0.69
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.035$0.25−$0.75
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · No0.1100.025$0.23−$0.77
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1500.018$0.12−$0.88
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.045$0.10−$0.90
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3700.011$0.03−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-23 07:59Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.1273451752$1.00
01-23 07:58Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.4$1.00
01-20 10:47Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
01-13 08:07Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
01-13 08:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
01-12 09:51Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.0510000004$1.00
01-12 09:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
01-12 09:44Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.54$1.00
01-12 09:43Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
01-12 09:32SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
01-12 09:31Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
01-12 09:23Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
01-12 09:23Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
01-12 09:23Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9289999647$1.00
01-12 09:22Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.4799998272$1.00