PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61C75D0C027aCd044cC096a2F47cbe68A958CEEE-1768206715790

0x61c75d0c027acd044cc096a2f47cbe68a958ceee

Realised P&L
$-6.90
Volume
$282.95
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$14.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1610.495$6.14+$4.14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7600.961$1.26+$0.26
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5400.645$1.19+$0.19
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.5600.655$1.17+$0.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7200.779$1.08+$0.08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5200.512$0.99$0.01
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$0.39$0.61
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · No0.1100.035$0.31$0.69
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.0920.025$0.27$0.73
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$0.25$0.75
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1500.036$0.24$0.76
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0600.013$0.21$0.79
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0830.016$0.19$0.81
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3700.065$0.18$0.82
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.065$0.14$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-23 07:59Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.1273451752$1.00
01-23 07:58Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.4$1.00
01-20 10:47Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
01-13 08:07Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
01-13 08:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
01-12 09:51Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.0510000004$1.00
01-12 09:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
01-12 09:44Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.54$1.00
01-12 09:43Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
01-12 09:32SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
01-12 09:31Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
01-12 09:23Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
01-12 09:23Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
01-12 09:23Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9289999647$1.00
01-12 09:22Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.4799998272$1.00