cjbrauns
0x618e55faee32f8c4c74c5d7fdcfa150faf8e9981
- Realised P&L
- $-110.66
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $54.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.49at 0.313US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$38.79at 0.176Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 15 2026?
- +$32.26at 0.225Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)
- +$26.54at 0.237Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$24.90at 0.513Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 17:40 | Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 07-30 14:49 | Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.83 |
| 07-15 13:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.36 |
| 07-06 09:12 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.159 | $0.18 |
| 07-02 05:18 | ITF Maanshan: Junlu Sun vs Chengyiyi Yuan | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 07-02 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.459999953 | $3.33 |
| 07-02 04:57 | ITF Maanshan: Junlu Sun vs Chengyiyi Yuan | BUY | 0.27 | $4.32 |
| 07-02 03:41 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics | SELL | 0.02 | $0.00 |
| 07-02 02:48 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4199999525 | $3.54 |
| 07-02 02:43 | San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6499999929 | $4.59 |
| 07-02 02:08 | Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Chwalinska/Kraus vs Cocciaretto/Li | BUY | 0.5099999966 | $6.00 |
| 07-02 02:08 | Jacquet vs. Bublik: Match O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.5099999966 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 23:17 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999754 | $3.53 |
| 07-01 23:08 | Counter-Strike: Alzon vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999762 | $6.52 |
| 07-01 23:08 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.339999976 | $6.52 |