PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lcciv8efjz4s

0x60465fa42275061df5fc0a474cb94813637d3831

Realised P&L
$-35.11
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
267
Open portfolio
$176.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded267
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2050.615$29.92+$19.92
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2680.571$21.30+$11.30
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.6690.944$14.10+$4.10
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · No0.7000.953$13.61+$3.61
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.7550.967$12.81+$2.81
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8000.885$11.06+$1.06
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9140.953$10.34+$0.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8440.835$9.77−$0.11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8400.745$8.87−$1.13
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.9450.735$7.78−$2.22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9030.999$7.13+$0.68
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4400.585$6.65+$1.65
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · No0.8080.972$6.01+$1.01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8500.825$4.85−$0.15
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5850.242$4.14−$5.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 05:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.54$4.91
09-08 05:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-08 05:12Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.937$0.27
09-08 01:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
09-08 01:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.13
09-06 14:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.937$0.44
09-05 14:40Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.26$0.01
09-05 14:40Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.26$0.04
09-05 14:38Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.25$0.12
09-05 14:38Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.25$0.12
09-05 14:29Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.26$0.03
09-05 14:22Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.26$0.04
09-05 13:55Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.26$0.19
09-05 13:43Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.31$0.14
09-05 12:54Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.29$0.21