PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

foxy.

0x5f8691f6ee3f48a29ec8f2d909dd20900cdfa769

Realised P&L
$257.4k
Volume
$59.69M
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$673.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4090.541$397.07+$97.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.775$77.50+$25.50
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0420.001$31.67$2.6k
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0420.001$31.67$2.6k
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0420.001$31.67$2.6k
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.695$27.80$0.60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1300.165$16.50+$3.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8340.779$15.59$1.09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.982$9.81+$0.01
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9870.968$9.80$0.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4600.805$8.05+$3.45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1600.135$4.05$0.75
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0090.003$3.33$6.67
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No0.5100.244$2.44$2.66
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1230.133$2.29+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 13:01Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.022$0.88
08-30 13:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4087389107$300.00
08-28 09:48Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.39$156.00
08-23 11:33Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.001$57.14
08-23 11:33Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.001$27.90
08-23 11:33Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.001$24.75
08-23 11:33Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.001$46.16
08-23 11:33Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.001$27.90
08-23 11:32Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.001$63.34
08-23 11:32Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.001$63.34
08-23 11:31Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.001$63.34
08-18 23:43Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.002$47.63
07-12 15:20Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.9$1.00
07-11 22:17Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$8.50
07-11 22:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.20900234$104.50