PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5f0e97101e55624fe29148459834ac5389522c88

0x5f0e97101e55624fe29148459834ac5389522c88

Realised P&L
$67.41
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
567
Open portfolio
$932.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded567
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9730.978$118.42+$0.51
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9490.984$103.70+$3.70
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.799$79.95+$29.95
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9700.974$52.15+$0.19
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.9850.985$52.06−$0.03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No0.9930.992$49.92−$0.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9590.972$46.99+$0.59
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.8750.935$38.39+$2.48
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9470.960$27.30+$0.36
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.969$24.06+$0.46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · No0.9971.000$23.86+$0.05
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9390.955$22.11+$0.37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9590.971$21.75+$0.26
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9540.974$20.61+$0.43
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.966$20.49+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:51Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 8?BUY0.998$1.99
10-08 08:50Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8?BUY0.993999999$1.97
10-08 08:50Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 8?BUY0.9939999991$2.13
10-07 23:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 7?SELL0.981$0.59
10-07 22:20Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?SELL0.994$0.43
10-07 21:25Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7?SELL0.994$0.12
10-07 19:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 7?SELL0.98$0.57
10-07 19:03Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?SELL0.947$0.35
10-07 18:56Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?SELL0.944$0.24
10-07 18:54Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?BUY0.984$1.14
10-07 18:52Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?BUY0.983999993$1.13
10-07 18:34Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7?SELL0.942$0.37
10-07 18:28Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?BUY0.9829999949$1.15
10-07 18:14Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?BUY0.98$2.01
10-07 18:10Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 7?SELL0.981$0.32