PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rip

0x59506f839022561f48eec644d3460439bc508c48

Realised P&L
$21.4k
Volume
$6.28M
Markets traded
610
Open portfolio
$16.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded610
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.981$7.5k+$142.73
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5910.565$2.0k−$92.49
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes0.9890.975$1.9k−$27.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.8630.951$950.50+$87.72
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3600.715$715.00+$355.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.705$705.00+$365.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · No0.5000.785$376.91+$136.59
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · No0.9800.964$289.20−$4.77
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1140.204$285.60+$125.80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2830.135$270.00−$296.90
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6750.598$239.00−$31.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.124$198.37−$89.59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? · No0.9590.978$170.73+$3.27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3100.134$134.00−$176.00
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9090.985$98.45+$7.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 14:23Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.57$114.00
10-30 06:52Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9789865884$1.9k
10-29 11:02Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.52$110.96
10-28 09:13Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?SELL0.79$8.38
10-26 13:04Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?BUY0.98984784$989.85
10-26 13:04Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?BUY0.98720632$987.21
10-26 12:52Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?BUY0.41$45.10
10-26 12:51Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?BUY0.81$26.34
10-26 12:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.06$120.00
10-26 12:41Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?SELL0.75$375.00
10-25 14:08Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.610648164$106.93
10-22 17:22Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.3302526935$910.08
10-22 11:24Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?BUY0.86278236$862.78
10-20 13:22Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.992448$992.45
10-20 12:54Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.982148$491.07