PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rip

0x59506f839022561f48eec644d3460439bc508c48

Realised P&L
$19.4k
Volume
$6.29M
Markets traded
584
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded584
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9560.982$5.5k+$143.59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.595$595.00+$255.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3600.585$585.00+$225.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1340.090$360.00$175.59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1280.156$312.00+$56.80
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · No0.7650.375$305.14$317.40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6750.639$255.80$14.20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1140.163$227.50+$67.70
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.455$227.50$202.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3970.225$225.00$171.90
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$220.00$180.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? · Yes0.7550.705$211.50$15.13
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1860.128$178.50$81.93
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? · No0.9590.988$172.48+$5.02
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0350.046$160.03+$36.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009250448$46.25
09-15 08:46Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.1345673257$134.57
09-15 08:44Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.12063699$120.64
09-15 08:44Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?BUY0.7442329873$64.52
09-15 08:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$240.00
09-12 15:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?BUY0.0781406641$73.30
09-11 11:40S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.26$130.00
09-05 11:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3969001$396.90
09-04 13:50Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$40.00
08-31 13:29S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?BUY0.7482$374.10
08-21 18:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21?BUY0.0247804169$31.36
08-20 18:46Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.23$230.00
08-20 13:16Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.077$6.95
08-20 12:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.27$270.00
08-19 18:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?BUY0.049$7.20