rip
0x59506f839022561f48eec644d3460439bc508c48
- Realised P&L
- $19.4k
- Volume
- $6.29M
- Markets traded
- 584
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded584
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.888Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.8kat 0.660Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.353S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
- +$2.7kat 0.206Will None in 2025 occur?
- +$2.7kat 0.106Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009250448 | $46.25 |
| 09-15 08:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1345673257 | $134.57 |
| 09-15 08:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.12063699 | $120.64 |
| 09-15 08:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? | BUY | 0.7442329873 | $64.52 |
| 09-15 08:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $240.00 |
| 09-12 15:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.0781406641 | $73.30 |
| 09-11 11:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 09-05 11:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3969001 | $396.90 |
| 09-04 13:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 08-31 13:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31? | BUY | 0.7482 | $374.10 |
| 08-21 18:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.0247804169 | $31.36 |
| 08-20 18:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 08-20 13:16 | Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.077 | $6.95 |
| 08-20 12:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 08-19 18:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19? | BUY | 0.049 | $7.20 |