rip
0x59506f839022561f48eec644d3460439bc508c48
- Realised P&L
- $21.4k
- Volume
- $6.28M
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.888Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.8kat 0.660Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.353S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
- +$2.7kat 0.206Will None in 2025 occur?
- +$2.7kat 0.106Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 14:23 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 10-30 06:52 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789865884 | $1.9k |
| 10-29 11:02 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $110.96 |
| 10-28 09:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $8.38 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | BUY | 0.98984784 | $989.85 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | BUY | 0.98720632 | $987.21 |
| 10-26 12:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October? | BUY | 0.41 | $45.10 |
| 10-26 12:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? | BUY | 0.81 | $26.34 |
| 10-26 12:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 10-26 12:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 10-25 14:08 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.610648164 | $106.93 |
| 10-22 17:22 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3302526935 | $910.08 |
| 10-22 11:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.86278236 | $862.78 |
| 10-20 13:22 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.992448 | $992.45 |
| 10-20 12:54 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.982148 | $491.07 |