0x588Dee49e611cdb2617fB9211945d4f7f7160698-1763461602073
0x588dee49e611cdb2617fb9211945d4f7f7160698
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $286.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.047US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$837.42at 0.217US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$123.99at 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$99.00at 0.600Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$75.81at 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $408.74 |
| 09-07 08:01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-21 10:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-21 07:40 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3250066667 | $243.76 |
| 06-18 08:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.129 | $193.50 |
| 06-16 07:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.145 | $108.75 |
| 06-15 14:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 06-12 07:19 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $270.00 |
| 06-11 14:14 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $109.00 |
| 06-11 11:57 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.19 | $142.50 |
| 06-08 10:00 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 05-12 08:48 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $67.50 |
| 05-12 08:48 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1753605867 | $263.04 |
| 05-12 08:47 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $67.50 |