APaintnobroke
0x5824a746831f7c69403930ef76db143f570469a9
- Realised P&L
- $616.93
- Volume
- $723.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,067
- Open portfolio
- $680.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,067
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.24at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
- +$117.16at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$103.41at 0.896Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6?
- +$91.04at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$91.04at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 13:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.158 | $12.81 |
| 07-07 16:06 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.04 |
| 07-03 00:32 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 07-03 00:19 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 09:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.007 | $0.88 |
| 05-24 09:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 05-15 18:48 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1466668 | $29.33 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999894 | $4.50 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.075 | $6.00 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999897 | $7.00 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999888 | $7.00 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1109999878 | $9.00 |
| 05-08 15:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1539999892 | $10.00 |