PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

APaintnobroke

0x5824a746831f7c69403930ef76db143f570469a9

Realised P&L
$616.93
Volume
$723.3k
Markets traded
1,067
Open portfolio
$680.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,067
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ben Pasternak jailed? · No0.9340.954$286.20+$6.00
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9620.982$117.00+$2.38
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9300.961$96.05+$3.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9010.974$77.88+$5.80
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.9100.947$75.76+$2.96
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$11.00$21.00
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No0.8800.945$7.87+$0.54
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026? · No0.9200.973$6.68+$0.36
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · Yes0.0600.070$2.21+$0.32
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$15.30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Patek Index hit $108,000 (HIGH) by April 30? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$0.78
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26? · Yes0.5030.000$0.00$22.66
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 13:11Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.158$12.81
07-07 16:06Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.15$1.04
07-03 00:32Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1299999859$7.00
07-03 00:19Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
05-24 09:422026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.007$0.88
05-24 09:422026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.008$1.00
05-19 15:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?BUY0.1029999168$1.00
05-19 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?BUY0.998$499.00
05-15 18:48Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?SELL0.1466668$29.33
05-08 15:16Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999894$4.50
05-08 15:16Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.075$6.00
05-08 15:16Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0859999897$7.00
05-08 15:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999888$7.00
05-08 15:16Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1109999878$9.00
05-08 15:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1539999892$10.00