PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mk333

0x56a3a3afcb3152fa413523c55bd2d60d7db31caf

Realised P&L
$-148.51
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
512
Open portfolio
$6.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded512
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.3500.205$1.13−$0.80
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3100.190$0.61−$0.39
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$0.52−$0.53
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? · Yes0.2100.100$0.50−$0.55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.135$0.45−$0.55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$0.39−$0.66
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.029$0.38−$0.67
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.039$0.34−$0.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.135$0.34−$0.71
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0800.024$0.31−$0.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.085$0.31−$0.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.125$0.30−$0.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.165$0.22−$0.82
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.042$0.20−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 8? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 05:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.11$0.92
10-10 05:27Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-12 05:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 14?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-12 05:06Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-12 05:06Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 14?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-12 05:04Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-12 04:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 13?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-12 04:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 13?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-12 04:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 13?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-11 05:04Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 13?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-10 05:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 12?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-10 05:04Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-10 05:03Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 12?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-09 04:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 9?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-09 04:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10?BUY0.3099999473$1.00