mk333
0x56a3a3afcb3152fa413523c55bd2d60d7db31caf
- Realised P&L
- $-148.51
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $6.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.230Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$6.85at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$6.67at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?
- +$6.48at 0.242Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$6.22at 0.110Will the US lose jobs in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.92 |
| 10-10 05:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |