0x5629a6267afea2a721c5c1d6c3ce4404347af2a3
0x5629a6267afea2a721c5c1d6c3ce4404347af2a3
- Realised P&L
- $-82.16
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $104.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.60at 0.298Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
- +$25.66at 0.235Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.36at 0.740Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.14at 0.214Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.55at 0.469Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 19:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 24? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.26 |
| 10-24 19:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? | BUY | 0.0786069651 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 19:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 19:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 19:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-24 18:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 18:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $27.96 |
| 09-20 08:11 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999985 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 16:10 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.45 |
| 09-11 16:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 16:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 16:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |