raymond2027
0x55c8a70026408325a2719c065346393be6e6b44e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $233.6k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.468Hornets vs. Magic
- +$1.3kat 0.406Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$1.3kat 0.677Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$824.83at 0.340Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:41 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $249.00 |
| 09-16 15:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 09-12 13:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-11 16:00 | Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $56.55 |
| 09-09 14:57 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-09 14:56 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-08 15:24 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-08 15:22 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.27 |
| 09-08 15:21 | Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.956 | $15.58 |
| 09-08 15:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.00 |
| 09-08 15:17 | Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.045 | $5.02 |
| 09-08 15:15 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $54.40 |
| 09-08 15:13 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $96.30 |