rymdstedt
0x540d6b0e4d8bb938af8a60ff57e5f0c233fce665
- Realised P&L
- $80.25
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $130.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.50at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$18.75at 0.440Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$18.34at 0.240Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
- +$13.80at 0.450Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$12.44at 0.616Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:21 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.851 | $17.73 |
| 09-20 19:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 19:09 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.9595010533 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 19:08 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | BUY | 0.9799999839 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 09:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:33 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:32 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 09:32 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 11:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 07:32 | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.92 | $17.35 |
| 03-02 09:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.66 |
| 02-28 18:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 15:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |