0x52d7ceC8ee5065C2381EF97A8aE718Bf2fE13849-1772959738025
0x52d7cec8ee5065c2381ef97a8ae718bf2fe13849
- Realised P&L
- $9.31
- Volume
- $307.97
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $28.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.773 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.620 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.855 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Tappara Tampere vs. Karpat Oulu · Tappara Tampere | 0.680 | 0.500 | $2.21 | −$0.79 |
| Jokerit Helsinki vs. Pelicans Lahti · Pelicans Lahti | 0.620 | 0.255 | $0.82 | −$1.18 |
| Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.963 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway · Czechia | 0.822 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| World Championships: Latvia vs. USA · USA | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.55at 0.643Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$4.50at 0.746Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.33at 0.783US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.800World Championships: USA vs. Germany
- +$2.22at 0.900US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:48 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 07:47 | Tappara Tampere vs. Karpat Oulu | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 07:45 | Jokerit Helsinki vs. Pelicans Lahti | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 07:43 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 07:42 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 07:42 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 07:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.38 |
| 07-25 06:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7359999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 14:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7359999011 | $6.07 |
| 07-16 05:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 05:40 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 05:39 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 05:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 06:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 06:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.00 |